It’s the question almost everyone approaching retirement asks, and the honest answer is the one nobody likes: it depends. But that’s not an excuse to give up — there’s a clear, four-step method for turning “it depends” into a number you can actually plan around. No jargon, no scare tactics. Just the maths.
Step 1: Decide what kind of retirement you’re aiming for
Before you can know how much you need, you have to decide what you’re funding. The most useful benchmark in the UK comes from the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association (PLSA), whose Retirement Living Standards describe three lifestyles and roughly what each costs per year after tax (latest published figures, for households outside London, updated annually):
| Lifestyle | One person | Two people |
|---|---|---|
| Minimum — the basics, a UK holiday, occasional meals out | ~£13,400 | ~£21,600 |
| Moderate — more security, a car, a two-week European holiday | ~£31,700 | ~£43,900 |
| Comfortable — more luxuries, regular holidays, home improvements | ~£43,900 | ~£60,600 |
The jump from “minimum” to “moderate” is the one that catches people out. A minimum lifestyle keeps the lights on; a moderate one is what most people actually picture when they imagine retiring — and it costs more than double. Pick the row and column that fits the retirement you want. That annual figure is your target income.
Step 2: Subtract what the State Pension already covers
Here’s the good news: you don’t have to fund all of that yourself. For the 2026/27 tax year, the full new State Pension is £241.30 a week — about £12,550 a year — if you have the 35 qualifying National Insurance years needed for the full amount. For a couple who both qualify, that’s roughly £25,100 a year before you touch a private pension.
Two caveats. Not everyone gets the full amount — it depends on your NI record, so the only reliable figure is your own forecast (free at gov.uk). And the full State Pension now sits very close to the tax-free personal allowance, so more pensioners are edging toward paying income tax on it. Your real funding challenge is the gap:
Target income − State Pension = the income your private pensions and savings need to provide.
Step 3: Work out the pot behind the gap
Once you know the annual gap, you can estimate the pot behind it. There’s no perfect formula, but a widely used rule of thumb — a starting point, not a promise — suggests you can withdraw roughly 4% of your pot a year with a reasonable chance of it lasting a long retirement. Flip it around:
Annual gap ÷ 4% (i.e. × 25) ≈ the pot you’d need.
So an annual gap of £19,000 implies a pot of around £475,000; a gap of £10,000 implies around £250,000. Treat this as a ballpark. The real number moves with how your money is invested, how long you live, what markets do in your first few years of drawing (a bad early run does outsized damage — “sequence risk”), and whether you’d rather buy a guaranteed income with an annuity. The rule of thumb is a sanity check, not a plan.
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The free 1-page Pre-Retirement Checklist walks you through exactly what to gather and review.
Step 4: The things that quietly change the number
Tax. The PLSA figures are after-tax spending, but pensions are taxed as income when you draw them — so the pot must be big enough to deliver the target net of tax.
Inflation. A figure that looks fine today won’t buy the same in fifteen years. A sensible plan assumes your income needs to rise over time.
When you stop. Retiring at 60 rather than 67 means more years to fund and fewer to save — it pulls the required pot up sharply from both directions.
Single vs. two of you. Two people sharing a home don’t need double a single person’s income — but planning should account for one person eventually managing alone.
A worked example
Say you’re single, you want a moderate retirement (£31,700 a year), and you’ll qualify for the full State Pension (~£12,550):
- Gap = £31,700 − £12,550 = £19,150 a year
- Pot, at the 4% rule of thumb = £19,150 × 25 ≈ £480,000
That’s the rough target your private pensions and savings would need to reach. If you’re some way off, that’s genuinely useful to know now — there are years of options (saving more, working a little longer, adjusting the target) that all shrink the gap. The worst position is not knowing the number at all.
What to do next
You can do a first pass yourself: pick your target lifestyle, get your State Pension forecast at gov.uk, work out your gap and the rough pot behind it, then add up what you actually have across every pension and saving. That last step is where most people realise they have old pots they’d half-forgotten about — and the moment the whole thing stops feeling vague.
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